Phone: 301-377-9407


Brexit and Your Investments

US and international stocks declined sharply Friday, June 24 2016, as a result of the British vote to leave the European Union (Brexit).The vote will affect stock and bond markets -- and investor portfolios -- for a long time.There may be further declines and volatility is expected to increase.

The TSP (for Federal Employees and Retirees): Art's Interview with Mike Causey

Mike Causey of Federal News Radio just interviewed me about recent declines in the TSP stock funds. We discussed how TSP investors could adjust their allocations and whether the G Fund is a good alternative for long-term investors.
You can listen to the interview here.
Recent TSP Returns

Tax Time Is Coming!

You may already be thinking about your taxes but you can’t prepare them until you receive all your 1099s and other tax information.

Consolidated 1099s for brokerage accounts (not IRAs) have to be mailed by February 16 this year. The normal February 15 deadline was delayed one day due to the Presidents’ Day holiday.

Stock Market Forecasts That Are Worth Reading

I recently blogged on the unreliability of stock market forecasts (Are Stock Market Forecasts Worth Reading?).
Mutual fund firm Dimensional Fund Advisors published a similar article (Jim Parker, 2016: Ten Predictions to Count On) a few days ago. The author details additional examples on the unreliability of forecasts but also listed ten forecasts for which he has complete confidence.

Your Anterior Cingulate Cortex and the Stock Market

2015 was a poor year for stocks. The S&P 500 Index (with reinvested dividends) increased only 1.4%. The beginning of 2016 has been worse. The S&P has declined approximately 7.5% year to date. Small cap stocks were worse in both periods.
Both stocks and bonds fluctuate in value; we call that volatility. No one worries when prices fluctuate up. But when prices suddenly fluctuate down, it is felt to be a surprising and painful event.
According to Jason Zweig at the Wall Street Journal, a sudden, unexpected decline in our investments can set off alarm bells in the brain that cause “specialized cells in a region of the brain called the anterior cingulate cortex… [to]respond… firing out warning signals to other parts of your brain that control your pulse, blood pressure and stress hormones — putting your body on almost instant alert.”
Instant alert as in: We worry. We stress. We want to do something. Many investors sell in a panic.

Are Stock Market Forecasts Worth Reading?

December and January are popular months for stock market forecasts. But are stock market forecasts reliable? A recent article says they are not.

Investing in the TSP: Running Out of Money in Retirement

Mike Causey recently interviewed me on his radio show.  Some questions we discussed included: Is there a “best day” to invest in the TSP stock funds? Is the G-fund too conservative? How do inflation and taxes affect your TSP investments?
To listen to the interview, click here .
Mike's article about the interview is here.

Is a Stock Market Correction Coming? No Doubt About It! Part II.

"Everything old is new again."
Many stock market commentators and investors are upset about recent declines and poor performance this year. The US markets declined four straight days through Friday.

Do stock market fluctuations cause bad decisions?

Do stock market declines get you down? Do you overreact to advances?
Join the crowd.
The illustration below summarizes the tendencies of many investors. When stocks are high they become enthusiastic and buy. They lose enthusiasm when stocks decline and sell.

Socially Responsible Investing

Many Americans care enough about environmental, human rights, moral and religious issues to prefer investments that either support these or do not cause harm. They care about Socially Responsible Investing (SRI).
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Arthur Stein Financial, LLC ("ASF") is a registered investment advisor ("RIA"), located in the State of Maryland. ASF provides investment advisory and related services for clients nationally. ASF will maintain all applicable registration and licenses as required by the various states in which ASF conducts business, as applicable. ASF renders individualized responses to persons in a particular state only after complying with all regulatory requirements, or pursuant to an applicable state exemption or exclusion.

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