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Is a Stock Market Correction Coming? No Doubt About It! Part II.

"Everything old is new again."
Many stock market commentators and investors are upset about recent declines and poor performance this year. The US markets declined four straight days through Friday.

Do stock market fluctuations cause bad decisions?

Do stock market declines get you down? Do you overreact to advances?
Join the crowd.
The illustration below summarizes the tendencies of many investors. When stocks are high they become enthusiastic and buy. They lose enthusiasm when stocks decline and sell.

Socially Responsible Investing

Many Americans care enough about environmental, human rights, moral and religious issues to prefer investments that either support these or do not cause harm. They care about Socially Responsible Investing (SRI).

Investing in the TSP -- Arthur Stein Interviewed by Mike Causey

Mike Causey recently interviewed me on his radio show.  Some questions we discussed included: Is there a “best day” to invest in the TSP stock funds? Is the G-fund too conservative? How do inflation and taxes affect your TSP investments?
To listen to the interview, click here and then click on the arrow blow and to the right of where it says “Your-turn_0114.”
Mike's article about the interview is here.
Please let me know if you have any questions.

2014 Investment Returns

The United States emerged from 2014 as the best house on a troubled block. Internationally, a civil war in Ukraine, slowing Chinese economy, stagnant Europe worried about potential deflation, new recession in Japan, threat of a new Russian economic meltdown triggered by plummeting oil prices--it all made an improving situation in the US look brighter by comparison.
Even apart from the troubles overseas, the United States -- by almost any measure -- was stronger than it’s been in years.

Tax-Loss Harvesting: You Don’t Need a Plow and It Can Reduce Your Taxes

As December 31 approaches, you – or your investment advisor – should review taxable investment accounts for “tax-loss harvesting” opportunities.
Tax-loss harvesting is an important -- but often neglected -- year-end investment strategy. It refers to selling investments that declined in value, which generates capital losses. The IRS doesn’t recognize losses unless you sell the asset.
Those losses are then used to offset capital gains on your tax return. That reduces the taxes you pay and, if losses exceed capital gains, up to $3000 can be used to reduce ordinary income on your tax return.

Holiday Treasure-Hunting

This being the season of gifts and miracles, I’m delighted to direct you to a potential source for extra cash. Across the nation, billions of dollars are languishing in state custody. And some of that may be yours.

A recent New York Times article stated that state-run depositories are filled with unclaimed money: stock dividends, 401(k) retirement funds, tax refunds, bank accounts and the like.

Stay With The TSP or Transfer to An IRA -- A Key Retirement Decision for Federal Retirees

TSP.jpgThe Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) offers many benefits but flexibility of withdrawals is not one of them. Retirees often experience changes in their income needs. Individual Retirement Accounts (IRA) offer more flexibility for withdrawing funds and may be a better choice. Federal retirees can take advantage of that flexibility by transferring investments from the TSP to an IRA.

Is a Stock Market Correction Coming? Is It Already Here?

Recent stock market news has not been good. After declining 1.9% in the third quarter of 2014, the S&P 500 Index of US stocks declined another 2.5% from October 1 to 17. The index is down 9% since the all-time high in September. Last week was the fourth straight week of declines for US stock market indexes.
Stock market volatility increased and many other markets (international stocks, commodities) also fell in value.
It is time to worry?

Arthur Stein quoted in "Investment News" article about PIMCO Total Return


Investor News recently quoted me on PIMCO Total Return and the controversy over the resignation of long-time lead manager Bill Gross. You can read the article here.


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